Pollster confirms Bolsonaro bounce, but Lula remains favorite

President Jair Bolsonaro is slowly closing the gap on former President Lula, the head-and-shoulders frontrunner, showing that the election is far from decided

Pollster confirms Bolsonaro bounce, but Lula remains favorite
Lula remains the head-and-shoulders favorite for the 2022 election, but there are some factors going President Bolsonaro’s way. Photo: Pedro Ladeira/Folhapress

Despite Brazil’s stubborn double-digit rates for both unemployment and inflation, President Jair Bolsonaro has cut into the margins of former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, according to the latest voter survey by Brazil’s biggest pollster, Datafolha.

However, results are not directly comparable to previous polls with different sets of candidates proposed to voters as many names dropped out of the race in recent months. Still, it confirms a continuing trend observed by other institutes: Lula is parked at the low-to-mid-40s, while Mr. Bolsonaro is slowly narrowing the gap between the two. Meanwhile, “third-way” candidates seem as...

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