How to interpret Brazil’s presidential polls

How to interpret Brazil's presidential polls
In which presidential polls should you trust?

Never before has the Brazilian media – and electorate – been so bombarded with presidential polls. On Wednesday alone we had two, from Ibope and Paraná Pesquisas. And while they showed similar trends for the first round – that is, Jair Bolsonaro firmly in the lead and Fernando Haddad comfortable in second place – their results were significantly different.

We at The Brazilian Report have made an editorial decision to only consider data from Ibope and Datafolha for our analysis, as these institutes have withstood the test of...

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