Politics

Left wing has no response to Bolsonaro’s popularity surge in poor areas

Bolsonaro is gaining popularity in Brazil's Northeast — seen as the last bastion of support for the center-left Workers' Party, which is struggling to fight back

lula speaks to supporters
Former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva during event with supporters, in January 2020. Photo: Paulo Pinto/FP

Though his administration was plagued with multiple corruption scandals, former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva remains one of Brazil’s most popular politicians. His detractors claimed his support was a byproduct of wealth transfer policies, which they dismiss as ‘cash-for-votes’ schemes. Lula’s followers, on the other hand, claim this evaluation is classist and argue his popularity is down to an ensemble of progressive policies, particularly in Brazil’s poor Northeast — the only region of the country where Jair Bolsonaro lost in the 2018 election.

Now, however, Mr. Bolsonaro’s popularity is on the rise in the Northeast, according to several opinion polls, leaving Lula’s supporters dumbstruck. This rise in approval coincides with the creation of the coronavirus emergency salary in March, which paid a BRL 600 (USD 110) monthly stipend to unemployed and informal workers, preventing tens of millions from falling below the extreme poverty line.

According to pollster Datafolha, opposition to Mr. Bolsonaro in the Northeast declined significantly, from 52 to 33 percent. Another poll, by DataPoder360, suggests that his supporters in the region now outnumber his detractors — something unthinkable just a few months ago.

On Twitter, supporters of the Workers’ Party appear flabbergasted that voters would rather back Mr. Bolsonaro’s government in exchange for monthly cash transfers, despite his open bigotry against vulnerable groups and the government’s...

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