Insider

Lula’s approval rating tilts down, a new poll finds

Lula approval rating tilts down
Lula (right) and Vice President Geraldo Alckmin. Photo: Ricardo Stuckert/PR

The Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva administration has a 39 percent approval rating per the latest reading by pollster Ipec, down from 41 percent last month. The variation is within the poll’s 2-percentage-point margin of error.

President Lula himself has an approval rating of 54 percent, down from 57 percent last month. Meanwhile, 37 percent of respondents said they disapprove of the president. Similarly, 52 percent said they trust the president, while 44 percent do not.

This is the first Ipec poll published after Lula reached the symbolic 100-day mark of his third term — and 48 percent of respondents said the president achieved less than they expected in that period. Almost one-third of the electorate said he has so far done what they expected of him, with 13 percent saying that Lula topped their expectations.

The administration’s disapproval rating — 26 percent on average — was higher among people more likely to have voted for Jair Bolsonaro, such as Southern Brazilians (44 percent), Evangelicals (35 percent), and the wealthy (37 percent). 

Ipec interviewed 2,000 people in 128 cities.

A Datafolha poll published on April 1 had similar findings, with the Lula administration registering a 38 percent approval rating. In this poll, 51 percent of respondents said Lula achieved less than they expected in the first quarter of his new term, while 25 percent said Lula performed as expected, and 18 percent said he exceeded their expectations.

Lula was elected by a razor-thin margin of 50.9 percent of the vote in late October, and took office on January 1.

Amid heightened levels of political polarization, Lula knows his government must deliver economic results fast to avoid a popularity crisis that could, in turn, fuel political turmoil. In a cabinet meeting in March, the president told the members of his administration “we don’t have much time to think about what we will do, we’ve got to start doing things.”