Power

Increasing cost of living sees Bolsonaro flag in polls — and threaten putsch

Dire economic situation and memories of good times place Lula as a 2022 favorite. Unable to change course, Bolsonaro doubles down on authoritarian instincts

Bolsonaro visits cadet of the Agulhas Negras Military Academy. Photo: Presidency of the Republic
Bolsonaro visits cadet of the Agulhas Negras Military Academy. Photo: Presidency of the Republic

Former Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holds a 16-point lead over incumbent Jair Bolsonaro amid rising political tensions and increasingly explicit threats from government officials of a power grab. If elections were held today, Lula would win 40 percent of the votes, against 24 percent for Mr. Bolsonaro, according to the latest poll sponsored by brokerage firm XP and conducted by pollster Ipespe.

The center-left icon’s numbers have consistently increased since he entered the 2022 race — which happened in March of this year, after the Supreme Court quashed his previous corruption and money-laundering convictions, making him...

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