Good morning! Today, we talk about the possibility of a Jair Bolsonaro come-from-behind win. Who watches the (electoral) watchmen? And another loss for Brazilian social democrats.
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đď¸ Save the date: Brazilians will once again go to the polls on October 30 for Brazil’s runoff election. We will hold a live broadcast commenting on the results and, more importantly, what will come next for Brazil, regardless of who is elected president. Add to your calendar!
Is Bolsonaro coming from behind to win?
Datafolha’s latest reading of the presidential race shows the two remaining candidates, Luiz InĂĄcio Lula da Silva and Jair Bolsonaro, closer than ever â with the former having a 52-48 lead. At the beginning of the runoff stage, Datafolha had Lula 10 points ahead.
Why it matters. As we always say, polls should be taken as movie reels that reveal trends, instead of accurate snapshots. The movie reel of this runoff is heavily favorable to Mr. Bolsonaro, with the candidates’ polling lines moving towards a point of conversion according...