Back in 2018, Jair Bolsonaro promised that — if elected president — he would not seek re-election, even pledging to support a bill outlawing consecutive terms for heads of executive branches. However, just months after settling in the presidential palace, he began talking about re-election, promising to rule the country for eight years.
Blocking Mr. Bolsonaro’s path to a second term are two obstacles: (1) the resurgence of left-wing icon Lula has put Bolsonaro second in the polls; and (2) the fact that the president doesn’t belong to a political party — and Brazilian elections do not allow for independent candidates.
Meaning that, before trying to overcome Lula, Mr. Bolsonaro will have to pick a new party and settle down. But that is easier said than done.
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