Latin America Weekly

Thought Bubble: How to read electoral polls in Chile

We are publishing a special issue of the Latin America Weekly newsletter ahead of tomorrow’s presidential election in Chile, in which we address the pollsters’ constant struggles to get the numbers right.

Thought Bubble: Why are pollsters in Chile so often wrong?

chile electoral polls
Ballot box during Chile’s first-round presidential vote. Photo: Klopping/Shutterstock

SANTIAGO — The presidential runoff between left-wing Gabriel Boric and far-right José Antonio Kast couldn’t be harder to predict. And the fact that pollsters must observe a 14-day period of silence before Election Day during which they are prohibited from publishing polls doesn’t make things any easier.

  • All polls published by the December 4 deadline showed Mr. Boric...

Less expensive than a coffee

Enjoy any plan of your choice for US$1 for the first month