2022 Race

Lula still polling first, but no longer pulling away

lula 2022 race
Pro-Lula demonstrators. Photo: Lucas Siqueira/Shutterstock

Brazil’s former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva still has a double-digit lead over incumbent Jair Bolsonaro in the 2022 presidential race. Per pollster Ipespe, Lula is 14 points ahead of the far-right leader — however, his lead has stabilized after increasing for months.

Lula’s support slipped by a single point compared with late September, with Mr. Bolsonaro polling at a stable 28 percent. Center-left candidate Ciro Gomes is the only “third-way option” above the 10-percent mark, with others at 4 percent or less.

The pollster included a scenario with former Justice Minister Sergio Moro, poised to join the center-right Podemos party, reportedly with presidential ambitions. However, the former federal judge managed no more than 8 percent of support.