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Political risks drop Banco do Brasil market cap to Dilma levels

Analysis by Veja magazine shows that political risks caused by President Jair Bolsonaro are devaluing the stocks of state-owned bank Banco do Brasil — a similar phenomenon to what was seen during the Dilma Rousseff administration. 

The bank’s market cap stands at around BRL 82 billion (USD 15.1 billion), or 4.2 times the expected profits for 2022. Under Ms. Rousseff, the ratio was 4 times the expected profits. The valuation is 47 percent lower than private banks Itaú and Bradesco — just 3 percentage points above the levels seen in 2016. 

The move comes amid a higher interest rate scenario, weak economic performance, and, above all, political instability — reflected in other state-owned stocks. Oil and gas firm Petrobras had a volatile trading day on Monday, as the management called a press conference to dissuade risks of interference after President Bolsonaro had complained about gasoline prices. 

Natália Scalzaretto

Natália Scalzaretto has worked for companies such as Santander Brasil and Reuters, where she covered news ranging from commodities to technology. Before joining The Brazilian Report, she worked as an editor for Trading News, the information division from the TradersClub investor community.

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