Long-term scenarios can be a valuable tool to help economic actors evaluate costs, risks, and opportunities within a country. In a moment where the Brazilian federal government is haunted by fiscal problems, low efficiency, and problematic regulations, this kind of planning can be even more valuable. According to economists Marco Antônio Cavalcanti and José Ronaldo Jr., from the Institute for Applied Economic Research (Ipea), structural reforms “could give [the economy] a positive push, providing [Brazil] with the minimum tools to gain macroeconomic stability.” Ipea has made predictions about how the Brazilian economy will behave over the next decade, which we will break down as follows.
Ipea economists considered three possible scenarios for the 2020-2031 period, varying in accordance with the number of measures Brazil will adopt to have a positive impact...
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