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Luciano Sobral

Luciano Sobral is chief economist of Neo Investimentos, an investment management firm based in São Paulo.

inflation central bank

Brazil’s Central Bank is the world’s most hawkish. So why do inflation expectations keep rising?

Trying to hold down consumer prices, the Central Bank has been furiously increasing benchmark interest rates, in a trend unlikely to end any time soon. But pursuing unrealistic inflation goals could spell disaster

3 days ago • Luciano Sobral

spending cap guedes

Brazil’s spending cap is finished. Where to tie up Ulysses now?

The Bolsonaro administration decided to poke holes in Brazil's five-year-old federal spending cap. Where to go from here?

1 month ago • Luciano Sobral

meat prices inflation

A return to “caution, serenity, and perseverance” in Brazil?

Inflation in Brazil seems out of control, but the government has one sliver of good news ahead: prices are set to slow down before the end of the year

2 months ago • Luciano Sobral

Economy Minister Paulo Guedes during an event, in Brasília. Photo: Pedro Ladeira/Folhapress

Brazil’s economy policy team should go back to playing defense

Economy Minister Paulo Guedes is seeking to launch a spending charge ahead of the 2022 election, but a series of blunders has left Brazil's goal wide open

3 months ago • Luciano Sobral

The devils of Brazil’s tax reform proposal

The devils of Brazil’s tax reform proposal

Deemed insufficient, unclear, and filled with political uncertainty, Brazil's tax reform proposal seems set to sink without a trace

4 months ago • Luciano Sobral

Brazil's Economy Minister Paulo Guedes. Photo: Salty View/Shutterstock

Brazil’s inflation woes may be temporary, but economic concerns are not

Inflated prices of foods and basic goods have been the bane of Brazilian consumers in 2021. But while these hardships are set to dissipate, the country has larger structural problems to contend with

5 months ago • Luciano Sobral

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